Contributions

  • Lam, Pok-sang. - Contributor
  • Mark, Nelson C. 1955- - Contributor
  • National Bureau of Economic Research. - Contributor

Publication

1998 - National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass, Massachusetts

Language

English

Word Count

5,750 words, Guess

Page Count

23 pages

Identifiers

Description

We study a Lucas asset pricing model that is standard in all respects representative agent's subjective beliefs about endowment growth are distorted. Using constant-relative-risk-aversion (CRRA) utility a CRRA coefficient below ten that exhibit, on average, excessive pessimism over expansions and excessive optimism over contractions, our model is able to match the first and second moments of the equity premium and risk-free rate, as well as the persistence and predictability of excess returns found in the data.

Subjects

Topics

PricesForecastingRate of returnEconometric modelsAssets (Accounting)Rational expectations (Economic theory)Rate of return -- United States -- Forecasting -- Econometric models

Places

Series Statement

  • NBER working paper series -- working paper 6354
  • Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research) -- working paper no. 6354.

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