Contributions

  • Kelly, Terrence K. - Contributor
  • Watkins, Jessica - Contributor
  • National Defense Research Institute (U.S.) - Contributor

Publication

2010 - RAND, Santa Monica, CA, California

Language

English

Word Count

17,750 words, Guess

Page Count

71 pages

Identifiers

Classifications

  • DDC355/.0330567
  • LCCUA853.I75 G66 2010

Alternate Titles

  • Framework for analyzing emerging threats as US forces leave
  • Framework for analyzing emerging threats as United States forces leave

Description

A critical question surrounding the withdrawal of U.S. forces from Iraq is Iraq's internal security and stability. Although the U.S. withdrawal plan is designed with care to avoid weakening Iraq's security, the end of U.S. occupation may alter the strategies of the main Iraqi political actors, each of which has enough armed power to be able to shatter Iraq's domestic peace. In view of the potential for insecurity in Iraq, the United States cannot afford to take a passive or reactive stance. To anticipate dangers and act purposefully, U.S. policy-makers need a dynamic analytic framework with which to examine the shifting motivations and capabilities of the actors that affect Iraq's security. This monograph offers such a framework.

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